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Business news, India: Vodafone is set to launch a £7bn plus
offer for the Indian mobile phone operator Hutchison Essar as the company
prepares to fight off rival bids for India's fourth largest telecoms carrier.
According to reports in London newspapers Arun Sarin, Vodafone chief
executive, discussed the company's plans at a recent board meeting. He is understood
to have won backing for a plan to switch out of its 10 per cent stake in Bharti
Airtel and pursue a majority stake in Hutchison Essar.
Vodafone would not comment on the situation but it is
understood that the British mobile phone company will detail its intentions in
one of the world's fastest growing mobile markets over the coming days. Its
executives are due to meet Hutchison's managing director, Canning Fok, and
Essar's Ravi Ruia in London shortly.
Analysts said a bid valuing the Indian operator at
around £7bn was high but could be justified. Such a deal would value Hutchison
Essar at over 20 times its expected earnings in the year to March 2007,
representing a much richer valuation than the market leader Bharti which trades
at around 16 times expected profits.
Vodafone will almost certainly face competition for
Hutchison Essar, with India's second largest mobile telecoms
company Reliance Communications expected to bid. Egyptian operator Orascom
Telecom and Malaysia's Maxis are also thought to be
interested in the company while Bharti Airtel has yet to rule out a bid.
Reliance presents the biggest hurdle for Vodafone as
the Indian company wants to bolster its GSM network. Nick Jotischky, an analyst
at Business Monitor International, said an acquisition of Hutchison Essar
presents Reliance, originally a CDMA only player, with an opportunity to boost
its GSM presence. He said that such a merger would create a clear market leader
with a market share of about 36 per cent but is unlikely to be blocked by
regulators due to the fragmented nature of the Indian telecoms market. The top
four players in the Indian market account for only 70 per cent of the total
growth and only three of those companies offer national coverage. India is divided into 23 circles with separate
licenses in each area and a slew of small regional local companies are yet to
be consolidated. Hutchison operates in around 16 of the circles.
If Vodafone succeeds in buying the Hutchison Essar
business, it would be its largest acquisition since the dotcom days when
Chris Gent built a global mobile telecoms empire through a series of
expensive acquisitions. Over the past year, Vodafone has been withdrawing from
mature western European markets and refocusing its attention on emerging
markets. It has spent around £3.3bn on acquisitions in Turkey, Africa, Egypt and Central Europe over the past 12
months. It also sold its troubled Japanese division for £8.9bn.
India represents one of the most
attractive growth markets for telecoms companies alongside China. The number of mobile subscribers is
expected to continue growing at a rapid rate as the device becomes the main
communication tool for hundreds of millions of people who have no access to fixed
line phones and cannot afford computers. The surge in predominantly prepay
users in India can be attributed to the
availability of extremely cheap GSM based mobile phones. Informa Telecoms &
Media analyst Mark Newman said that in 2007 India is forecast to add over 66 million
new users compared to around 68 million in China.
Mr Jotischky said that the number of Indian people with
a mobile phone is expected to almost double; in 2006 to 148.1 millions subscribers.
More than six million Indians are taking up mobile phone services a month, but
the penetration rate is expected to remain low at 13.4 per cent.
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