4G mobile revenue to top US$70 billion in 2014
Tuesday, 26 January 2010 10:01
As 4G network deployments gather momentum, a substantial 22% of device subscription revenues will come from suites of operator-branded premium services. What is more, total 4G mobile consumer service revenue – including mobile Internet services - will grow rapidly to exceed $70 billion worldwide in 2014.
These forecasts are issued by ABI Research in 4G Mobile Consumer Services. Practice Director Philip Solis is predicting, “Operators of 4G networks will refuse to be marginalised as ‘dumb data pipe’ service providers. Instead, they will offer suites of ‘smart services’ – some internally developed, others via partnerships with third party suppliers – that will be provided over ‘smart networks’ enabled with all-IP technologies, IMS infrastructure and cloud-based storage.”
These 4G services will be optimised to enable a proliferation of mobile devices, such as smartphones, netbooks and PNDs, while many operators will be offering pooled device subscriptions, namely, one user subscription, many activated devices.
Internet access service will be the “killer 4G service” – no surprise considering 4G networks are data-only. However, a suite of premium services will collectively drive significant consumer adoption, revenues and profits, including:
- location services, such as turn-by-turn directions and POIs;
- multimedia services, such as VoD and P2P video sharing;
- media broadcast services, such as pay-per-view TV and digital radio; and
- gaming services, such as multi-player and augmented reality games.
These “Web 3.0” services will be integrated with popular Web 2.0 features, such as personalisation, community, interactivity, presence, and localisation, and will be delivered simultaneously, seamlessly and transparently to “three screens” (PCs, TVs and mobile devices) over the Internet, over cable networks, and over wireless networks.
“Operators will take advantage of this market opportunity by breaking down their walls and building open ecosystems,” says Philip Solis. “They will partner with third-party service providers from whom they can license and re-brand services; they’ll work with network and handset OEMs to influence infrastructure and device specs; and they’ll join ecosystem development organisations such as Alcatel-Lucent’s ng Connect program.”
ABI Research’s new study provides a market development update along with dynamics, mobile consumer services descriptions, selected ecosystem participant profiles, and key insights and opportunities. Market forecasts are also provided for device subscriptions and revenue broken down by device and service segments.
* ABI Research (established in 1990) provides analysis and quantitative forecasting of trends in global connectivity and other emerging technologies. From offices in North America, Europe and Asia, ABI Research’s team of experts advises thousands of decision-makers through 28 research and advisory services.
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